2003

Постійне посилання на фонд

https://ela.kpi.ua/handle/123456789/66455

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Перегляд 2003 за Ключові слова "519.5"

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    The analytic network process. Examples. Part 2.3
    (КПІ ім. Ігоря Сікорського, 2003) Saaty, Thomas L.
    We give here the details of an application of the ANP to National Missile Defense (NMD), a $60 billion decision (one of the costliest undertaking ever) by the United States to deploy an anti-nuclear-missile missile defense system. This study I did in September 2000 developed with its strategic criteria, and benefits, opportunities, costs and risks. Deploy NMD is the highest priority outcome, that is validated by sensitivity analysis. It was presented to the National Defense University in Washington in February 2002. In mid-December 2002 the US Government announced that it planned to develop the NMD — at best an interesting coincidence. Another example, done in September-October 2002, was about the strategy that the US should follow to remove the Saddam Hussein regime in Iraq. Going with the UN was the best outcome followed by a going alone or with a coalition.
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    Theory of the analytic hierarchy and analytic network process – examples. Part 2.2
    (КПІ ім. Ігоря Сікорського, 2003) Saaty, Thomas L.
    In this part we introduce the role of benefits, opportunities, costs and risks (BOCR) in decision-making and how to establish priorities for them. We give an example of a real life application of the US Congress acting on China joining the World Trade Organization (WTO) mailed to the US congressional committee before that decision. We then introduce and apply the Analytic Network Process and its concept of a supermatrix to make decisions with dependence and feedback and illustrate its application for a single “control” criterion of market share. This will be followed in Part 2.3 by a full BOCR application in the context of the ANP.
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    Theory of the Analytic Hierarchy Process. Part 2.1
    (КПІ ім. Ігоря Сікорського, 2003) Saaty, L.
    Highlights are given of the decision making theory the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) and its generalization to dependence and feedback, the Analytic Network Process (ANP) both of which deal with the measurement of tangible and intangible criteria in relative terms by using paired comparisons. The fundamental scale of absolute numbers for representing judgments is introduced and the principal right eigenvector is shown to be the necessary vector of priorities derived from the possibly inconsistent matrix of comparisons of homogeneous elements. A method of synthesis of priorities is proposed. Rank preservation and reversal are discussed. When independent, the alternatives can be rated one at a time with respect to the criteria using intensities. Negative priorities are also introduced. This paper will be followed soon by two other papers.