(Igor Sikorsky Kyiv Polytechnic Institute, 2024) Maznichenko, Lev Vladyslavovych; Huskova, V. H.
Bachelor thesis: 107 p., 6 figures, 5 tables, 32 references, 3 appendixes.
The object of the study is the demographics of developed and developing
countries.
The subject of research is the time series analysis and forecasting methods
applied to demographic data.
The purpose of the work is to is to develop and evaluate a model for predicting
demographic trends in various countries using time series analysis techniques.
The relevance of this thesis lies in the development of the field of
demographics (TFR) forecasting, which is essential for understanding and planning
for the needs of society and Humankind itself. Accurate population projections help
in policy making, resource allocation and economic planning. Traditional models
often fail to capture the nuances of demographic changes, especially under different
economic, political and cultural conditions.
During research, a sophisticated forecasting model was developed to predict
demographic trends in both developed and developing countries. This model uses
advanced time series analysis and forecasting techniques to provide increased
accuracy and insight into future demographic shifts, thereby assisting in effective
decision-making and planning.